USC Marshall Professor Believes Amplifying Uncertainty is Key
Published 2008-12-29
A. Alexandra Michel’s new book, Bullish on Uncertainty: How Organizational Cultures Transform Participants, explores the case of two major U.S. investment banks — with two differing philosophies on how to structure business processes and organizational strategies.
Her findings: The bank that amplified bankers’ uncertainty produced better overall results than the bank that reduced bankers’ uncertainty.
“In our society we tend to believe that knowledge workers can better cope with complexity when we decrease their uncertainty and give them the tools they need to become experts,” said Michel, a faculty member with the University of Southern California’s Marshall School of Business. “This research, in contrast, shows that people are often better at complex jobs when they know less. This gives them the incentive to question assumptions and collaborate with others.”
The following are some of the “unusual” practices uncertainty-amplifying organizations use:
- Bubble-Up Strategy: “Strategy should not be dictated top-down but needs to continuously ‘bubble-up’ from lower-level employees who are closest to the market,” Michel said. “It thus becomes less explicit and more fluid than people are usually comfortable with.”
- Fluid Roles: “Organizational roles should be vague and fluid,” Michel said. “As employees need to constantly self-organize anew, they become more aware of what a particular situation demands, as opposed to executing automatic routines.”
- Staffing Based on Availability: “Professionals should not be staffed based on their expertise, but based on availability,” Michel said. “Their resulting lack of knowledge will force them to communicate with others and distribute knowledge throughout the organization.”
- Training that Highlights Contradictions: “Training should not resolve, but highlight contradictions so that people become comfortable with this ubiquitous feature of the real world,” Michel said.
- Create a 360-degree Mentality: “Instead of focusing employees on a limited number of goals — such as revenues — they need to be focused on the consequences of all of their actions, such as deals lost to competitors, year-round feedback from clients and colleagues, assistance provided to other departments, time costs of team members and costs of other organizational resources,” Michel said.
Michel believes adopting these management techniques can help create what she calls the “insecure overachiever,” a professional who compulsively doubts what he or she knows, and by lack of relevant knowledge is forced to collaborate.





